📝 Review:Last Friday, the U.S. dollar index continued to decline intraday, breaking below the 98-dollar mark during the session, and finally closed down 0.36% at 97.82; the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.321%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.763%.

USD/JPY 147.315  Sell  Target Price  146.597

📝 Review:Spot gold rose first and then fell, once rising to near the 3350 mark during the session, but then continued to decline, almost wiping out all the day's gains, and finally closed up 0.01% at 3335.73 USD/ounce; spot silver closed down 0.06% at 37.97 USD/ounce.

Gold 3328.56  Sell  Target Price  3309.27

📝 Review:Crude oil fluctuated downward, falling more than 1% during the day. WTI crude oil once fell to a daily low of $61.84, finally closing down 1.22% at $62.26 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 1.04% at $65.60 per barrel.

WTI Crude Oil 61.773  Sell  Target Price  60.707

📝 Review:The three major U.S. stock indexes were mixed, with the Dow up 0.08%, the S&P 500 down 0.29%, and the Nasdaq down 0.4%. Intel (INTC.O) rose 2.93%, UnitedHealth (UNH.N) rose 12%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose 0.74%, Bilibili (BILI.O) rose 4.32%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) fell 0.85%.

Nasdaq 100 23770.350  Buy  Target Price  23998.528

📝 Review:From last night to today, Bitcoin has shown a highly volatile trend. Influenced by the 0.5% month-on-month increase in U.S. retail sales in July (reinforcing expectations of economic resilience) and fluctuations in the dollar following consumer confidence data, Bitcoin briefly fell below $117,000 on August 18 (a 3.87% drop in 24 hours), hitting a low of $116,936. However, it later stabilized and rebounded due to BlackRock's holdings surpassing 600,000 BTC (total market value exceeding $56 billion) and the enactment of Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance." From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has formed a new oscillation pivot around $117,000–$118,000. The 4-hour chart RSI rebounded from oversold (38) to 55, with the Bollinger Bands continuing to narrow (standard deviation dropping to 2.9%). The repeated entanglement of short-term moving averages (such as EMA50) with the price indicates intense battles between bulls and bears. Key support levels have shifted downward to the $116,000–$116,500 range (corresponding to the EMA200 moving average and the cost zone of institutional accumulation in August). A breakdown with high volume could open further downside space. However, on-chain data shows that exchange BTC balances have dropped to 2.5 million (the lowest since 2018), with long-term holdings accounting for over 70%. Coupled with expansion expectations driven by Layer2 technological breakthroughs, Bitcoin overall maintains upward resilience. The market is currently focused on tonight's Fed meeting minutes regarding adjustments to rate-cut expectations and the impact of U.S. tech earnings reports on liquidity.

BitCoin 117569.9  Sell  Target Price  115699.0